Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.190937 0.218661 0.249742 0.287309 0.331666 0.382595 0.445812
2025-11-16 0.145243 0.180922 0.225099 0.284417 0.362888 0.464418 0.607824
2025-11-23 0.118576 0.156539 0.206931 0.279913 0.384920 0.533718 0.766393
2025-11-30 0.104331 0.144322 0.200492 0.287109 0.420927 0.626112 0.977426
2025-12-07 0.090719 0.130218 0.188255 0.282425 0.436718 0.689545 1.157697
2025-12-14 0.081623 0.121072 0.181424 0.283980 0.461362 0.770712 1.388204
2025-12-21 0.073916 0.112836 0.174531 0.283776 0.482210 0.848673 1.633582
2025-12-28 0.068862 0.108039 0.172292 0.290707 0.516407 0.957757 1.973454
2026-01-04 0.064069 0.103017 0.168886 0.294781 0.545641 1.063189 2.338877
2026-01-11 0.059942 0.098597 0.165863 0.298910 0.575462 1.176287 2.760700
2026-01-18 0.056867 0.095623 0.164975 0.306853 0.614447 1.318559 3.309142
2026-01-25 0.053334 0.091434 0.161307 0.308603 0.640265 1.436478 3.837644
2026-02-01 0.049844 0.087044 0.156892 0.308471 0.662638 1.553889 4.422485
2026-02-08 0.046460 0.082533 0.151761 0.306130 0.679648 1.662930 5.034994
2026-02-15 0.043190 0.077919 0.145908 0.301332 0.689750 1.756277 5.641374
2026-02-22 0.041481 0.076176 0.145672 0.309195 0.733622 1.958788 6.759567
2026-03-01 0.038754 0.072147 0.140234 0.304089 0.742240 2.058415 7.530300
2026-03-08 0.036861 0.069642 0.137770 0.305785 0.769969 2.227277 8.704180
2026-03-15 0.034979 0.066989 0.134706 0.305562 0.792312 2.386006 9.942373
2026-03-22 0.033833 0.065778 0.134706 0.313122 0.839377 2.647295 11.891806
2026-03-29 0.032542 0.064143 0.133571 0.317567 0.878076 2.892786 13.969529
2026-04-05 0.031345 0.062610 0.132512 0.322072 0.918175 3.159644 16.426256
2026-04-12 0.030484 0.061743 0.132932 0.330742 0.974264 3.515003 19.829977